Inside a Kessavo run

5 short questions. One extraordinarily detailed answer.

The form takes about 2 minutes. What it triggers doesn't — every run resolves your finances month by month, against real IRS, SSA, and CMS rules, hundreds of times over. Here's what's actually happening while you wait for the results to load.

What you actually answer

The same 5 short steps as the homepage — about a dozen fields total, most of them a single number.

1

Household

Birth year (and your spouse's, if you're planning as a couple).

2

Social Security

Your benefit — from your statement, or a single full-retirement-age estimate.

3

Balances

Taxable, tax-deferred, and Roth account balances.

4

Coverage

State of residence and your health insurance or Medicare cost.

Then, behind the scenes

Everything below runs on those dozen fields — nothing here is a separate input you have to fill out. This is what "shows its work" actually means in terms of raw computation, not just formulas you can read on the Methodology page.

Scale & granularity

129,600

simulated months, one full Premium run

Worked example for a 65-year-old: 36 years to age 100, 432 months per trial, across 300 Monte Carlo trials. A 60-year-old's plan runs longer; a 70-year-old's shorter — the depth holds at any age.

300 trials, not one projection

Each trial draws a fresh random annual return for every year, then simulates the full plan against it — not a single fixed growth-rate line.

Resolved monthly, in a fixed order

Taxable
Tax-deferred
Roth

Every month checks all three balances, applies that year's RMD if one is owed, and carries the result into the next month.

Tax & legal logic

7 federal brackets + capital gains, stacked

Ordinary income runs through all 7 current federal brackets — different thresholds for single filers and married couples, not one table doubled. Long-term capital gains from taxable withdrawals stack on top at their own rates.

RMD divisor, shrinking on schedule

Applies from age 73 or 75, by birth year, per SECURE 2.0 — not a flat rule.

6 IRMAA tiers, checked per person

Tier 1 — under $109,000 — $0
Tier 2 — up to $137,000 — $81
Tier 3 — up to $171,000 — $203
Tier 4 — up to $205,000 — $325
Tier 5 — up to $500,000 — $446
Tier 6 — above $500,000 — $487

A couple where both spouses are 65+ sees both premiums and both surcharges stack — on the same household income.

Timing, by design

A one-year lag, on purpose

This year's income sets next year's tax and IRMAA bill — the same lag mechanism the real IRMAA system uses (two years, simplified to one here for clarity, and said so on the Methodology page).

Built to expire on schedule

The age-65 senior deduction phases out above $75,000 of income ($150,000 for a couple) and is scheduled to disappear after tax year 2028 — the model applies and expires it on that exact calendar.

26 states with real handling

13 states — full curated brackets9 states — no income tax4 states — retirement income exempt

Run in real, not nominal, dollars

The whole projection is deflated to today's-dollar terms as it runs, so the current tax brackets apply consistently across the years — rather than re-guessing where inflation will move them.

The numbers

verified against the engine, August 7, 2026

Monte Carlo trials per run300
Simulation granularityMonthly, current age → age 100
Example: age 65, full Premium run432 mo × 300 trials = 129,600
Federal tax brackets7 (single-filer) / 7 (married filing jointly — different thresholds, not doubled)
IRMAA surcharge tiers6, checked per person, per year
States with real bracket/exemption logic26 (13 curated + 9 no-tax + 4 exempt)
RMD divisor range26.5 (age 73) → 6.4 (age 100)
Tax / IRMAA timingOne-year lag, by design

A note on the number that leads this page: 129,600 is a worked example for a 65-year-old, not a universal constant — total simulated months scale with how many years remain to age 100. Every other figure above is fixed and applies to every plan.

See it run on your own numbers — still just 5 short steps.

Start your plan — free

Or read every formula behind these numbers on Methodology.